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AI Profits Surge, $70B Capex Surge Raises Investor Concerns, Automated Skin Exams | Diet TBPN

AITBPNMay 1, 202631:56
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TL;DR

Major tech companies reported strong cloud and AI-driven earnings growth, with Google and Amazon leading, Microsoft showing steady enterprise AI adoption, Meta balancing robust ad revenue against challenges, and the tech market presenting diverse AI strategies amid ongoing debates about AI’s impact on jobs and society.

Key Points

Google’s dominant cloud growth and search stability Google’s Q1 results highlighted robust core search revenue, growing 19% year-over-year to $6.4 billion, defying predictions that AI chatbots would cannibalize traditional search. Its cloud division surged 63% year-over-year to $20 billion in revenue, nearly doubling its backlog to over $460 billion, with more than half recognized within 24 months. Strong margins accompanied this growth, underscoring Google’s position as a full-stack AI and cloud platform leader.

Microsoft’s steady enterprise AI focus Microsoft reported $82.9 billion revenue, up 18% year-over-year, with Azure growing 40%. Though not teasing new model releases like Gemini, Microsoft notably expanded AI co-pilot adoption to 20 million paid seats, a small fraction of the 450 million Microsoft 365 users. The company’s OpenAI partnership, now non-exclusive as OpenAI models also run on AWS, presents a complex strategic balance between Azure growth and broader AI ecosystem benefits.

Amazon reaccelerates AWS and infrastructure investments Amazon topped capex forecasts but AWS growth beat expectations at 28% year-over-year, fueling optimism despite hefty spending on AI-focused infrastructure. Q1 sales reached $181.5 billion, near trillion-dollar annual run rate. Amazon’s cloud strategy focuses on partnerships with OpenAI and Anthropic, differentiating its AI infrastructure investments from Google’s full-stack approach.

Meta’s strong revenue faces user engagement concerns Meta posted $56.3 billion in Q1 revenue, a 33% increase driven by a 19% rise in ad impressions and a 12% price increase per ad. However, daily active user numbers declined sequentially, partly due to regional disruptions like internet restrictions in Iran and Russia. Meta’s increased capex outlook to $125-$145 billion raised questions about whether price inflation or genuine compute scale drives spending. The company stands as a major AI ad-optimization player but lacks large-scale AI enterprise contracts, making its capex-to-cash flow relationship uncertain.

Fractured AI narratives among hyperscalers Each tech giant pursues a distinct AI and cloud growth strategy: Google as full-stack AI platform, Microsoft emphasizing enterprise adoption, Amazon focused on infrastructure and AI partnerships, and Meta betting on frontier AI research and ad optimization. This divergence reflects varying market expectations around AI’s role in revenue growth and capital investment returns.

Market valuations reflect relative prudence versus dot-com era Current price-to-earnings multiples for Google (17x), Meta (16x), Amazon (24x), and Microsoft (25x) are far below dot-com bubble peaks where companies traded at hundreds of times earnings. While many newly started private companies have sky-high valuations without earnings, the market remains anchored by these large, cash-flow-generating tech firms.

AI as a job creator, not destroyer Experts stress that AI functions like immigration by expanding economic capacity and creating new jobs rather than solely eliminating existing ones. Automation of certain tasks will occur, but overall “more to do than ever before” is expected. Jobs such as radiologists and truck drivers remain vital, often performing complex or multifaceted roles beyond those targeted by AI automation.

Technological advances in medical AI diagnostics Emerging AI solutions aim to improve accuracy and accessibility in areas like dermatological skin cancer screening, not to replace doctors but to augment diagnostic efficiency. Regulatory approval processes remain a key hurdle before widespread adoption.

ARC AGI benchmarks highlight AI progress and challenges Latest AI models from OpenAI and Anthropic scored comparatively low but state-of-the-art on ARC AGI tests, which are intentionally difficult for machines, illustrating ongoing frontier challenges in AI capabilities beyond hype.

Innovative AI-driven content and product marketing Amazon is launching AI-generated podcasts where virtual hosts discuss products and respond to user questions, signaling new frontiers in retail marketing and content automation, though the appeal and utility remain uncertain.

Public and expert discourse highlights cautious optimism and debate Voices caution against exaggerated AI doomsday scenarios, emphasizing balanced communication that avoids undermining workforce confidence while advocating for appropriate safeguards and policy. The debate continues on AI’s societal impact, job disruption risks, and economic opportunities.

CONCLUSION

The latest tech earnings confirm AI and cloud computing as key growth engines, yet reveal divergent approaches and challenges among industry leaders. While AI’s transformative potential fuels optimism, the complexity of adoption, valuation dynamics, and workforce implications ensure a nuanced evolution of the digital economy.

Full transcript

We had to rush back from Stripe Sessions. Fantastic interview with the Collison brothers, many others yesterday. Go check it out if you haven't already. Fun stuff. We didn't go nearly deep enough on the whole Cosian singularity. There's a debate on the timeline about it. We can get into it later. We need to have some more economists on the show to break it down for us. Uh but this is their big pitch. Firms get smaller and the future the the coast theory of the firm. Anyway, if you studied economics, you might be familiar, but it's jargon, and you're going to be hearing a lot more of it in the singular. >> A lot of mumbo jumbo. >> I'm not even going to try I'm not even going to try. Well, here's some uh here's some less mumbo jumbo. Tech earnings, quadkill recap, four in one day. Last time this happened, I think it was 2020. Four big tech companies all same day. It is random. No one really knows why. Uh it just sort of lines up. It's like a solar eclipse. Can you use astrology to predict the next one? >> Potentially. >> Potentially. >> You would have to imagine it's some something around the alignment of the the planets that cause >> more like the holidays. More like the holidays because books close then certain things line up. Also like Nvidia is never in the conversation. They're always like two or three weeks later. But anyway, uh let's go through what actually happened. Google was the big winner. They absolutely crushed the stocks up 10% in the last couple days. Really successful. And there's a few reasons. So the core business is still growing. Google search this was the question of is AI are chat bots going to be eating into the core Google search revenue the core business that drives all the other investments. The answer is unequivocally no. Uh Google search and other revenue with 6.4 billion. Yeah. Uh up 19% year-over-year. I mean two years ago there was the whole like Google search is dead thesis. Uh that has not been borne out at least this year. Uh very very strong results there. Then Google cloud is like the major story. So much so that uh take him when he uh did his earnings recap, he didn't even talk about toplines at Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. He just says Google Cloud revenue 63% year-over-year. Amazon Web Services 28% year-over-year. Azure 40% year-over-year. And then meta overall revenue, which we'll get into, 33% year-over-year. So, he's not even looking at the at the rest of the business. all that matters for the three major public clouds um are those cloud businesses not even uh anything anything specific within the overall business. So uh long story short, higher capex at Google totally justified in a world of cloud acceleration backlog growth is huge. Uh cloud backlog uh nearly doubled to more than $460 billion. And importantly this isn't like a 5-year 10-year contract type thing. Half of that more than half of that backlog is expected to be recognized in the next 24 months. So really good news there. Uh Google Cloud hit 20 billion up 63%. Now it is smaller than Amazon and that's why AWS is people are hunting for high 20 growth rates maybe begins with a three in Google it's smaller so it can grow 63% but that's still fantastic and uh cloud operating income was 6.6 six billion which is very strong margin. So everything is looking good. Search durability, demand for AI infrastructure. It's the full stack AI play right now. Uh Microsoft showed solid execution, but they didn't dramatically change any particular narrative. I think a lot of this goes to like the the the just naturally slow deployment of enterprise AI, but this is the focus for Microsoft. They are the enterprise AI uh play. >> Yeah. One one thing was notable is they weren't they weren't heavily teasing anything related to the next Gemini release. >> Yeah, I I they wouldn't tease that at at earn. >> No, no, they have they have historically. So, uh maybe that maybe they want to let the model speak for itself. >> Yeah, probably announced Gemini 4, I would imagine, uh announced it uh >> or a coding specific model. >> Yeah. Yeah, something there. I mean, there's certainly demand for it. They have the capacity. there's lots of opportunity. Uh we'll probably be following that in 3 weeks when Google IO happens. So Microsoft uh investors wanted to see Azure growth co-pilot adoption and a solid justification for all the capex. Uh the stocks down 2% nothing crazy but uh Microsoft beat on headline numbers. Revenue was 82.9 billion up 18% year-over-year. Uh and from an analyst perspective it was a clean beat. Um, but there's more nuance here. So, in terms of AI adoption, Microsoft added about >> Look at this beautiful LED wall. >> Billion. Yeah, let's get it up to the >> still underrated. We ordered this bad boy maybe like six months ago. >> Took quite a while, >> but it is fun. We We need to figure out more things to do with it. On co-pilot adoption, this is the big question for Microsoft 365 like total seats. You know, you think about Microsoft Teams, Outlook, like the standard Microsoft enterprise seat. I think it's about $30 per user per month. Competes with uh Google Apps Enterprise, right? But Microsoft's been doing this for much longer. They have 450 million paid seats. So, in terms of co-pilot, they added 5 million, which is great. They're at 20 million now. So, that's solid adoption, but it's still small compared to the 450 paid seats. ideally like every seat would have a co-pilot alongside of it. That I mean that's the idea, right? Uh and so the question is how quickly can they get that 20 million co-pilot seats up to 200 million 400 million. You know, ideally everyone has one of these add-on subscriptions and that's lifting the overall business. Uh market reaction was a bit choppy as the new OpenAI relationship gets digested. And so there's two sides to the Microsoft OpenAI deal right now. Of course, uh, OpenAI is no longer limited to selling just through Azure. Azure no longer has exclusive access to OpenAI models. OpenAI is now available on AWS as well. And it's and it cuts both ways. So, on one hand, uh, Microsoft, you know, they used to be the exclusive provider. If you're a sales guy at Microsoft on Azure, you're probably really excited to call somebody up and say, "Hey, you want to use GPT 5.5? We're the only place in town like like you should come over here. You should migrate more of your infrastructure. You should be using Azure." But it was probably frustrating because a lot of people say, "No, we're locked into AWS. We are stuck in that cloud and we'd love to, but we'll just use the API directly or we'll do we'll figure out some other workaround, but we're not moving for this." >> Yeah. Or people could be like, "Yeah, we're we're we're open to trying it, but it'll take, you know, a couple quarters realistically to get to get ramped up." >> Yeah. And so from an Azure perspective, losing exclusivity is a negative, but from a business perspective, uh the more growth for OpenAI is good for Microsoft's equity stake in the company. And so these two tensions like the the capital balance sheet side of the business versus the Azure sales and acceleration side of the business like these two co-pilot versus codeex. >> Sure. Yeah. And so these two these two sides of the business are sort of uh butdding up against each other and Satan Nadella ultimately has to go and un un you know renegotiate the contract and they did and it seems like they're in a good place because uh a lot of people were sort of saying like oh well is this going to get messy? Is there some going to be some lawsuit here? It seems like there was a very clean negotiation renegotiation and uh they open AAI got rid of the AGI clause that allows them to to stop sharing models but they are sharing revenue >> basically the the I think 2032 end date. >> Yeah. Is just >> the IP share instead of this like arbitrary >> Yep. >> AGI. >> Uh so over at Amazon Amazon still of course the capex king. They top the capex forecast. Uh but as scary as that would be, AWS is reacelerating and so that's very good news. So uh the stock moved slightly upwards. Uh Q1 2026 sales for Amazon overall were a 181.5 billion for the quarter. For the quarter they're they're like on track to make a trillion in revenue soon. Up 17% year-over-year, beating expectations. AWS is expected to see 25% growth. That was the expectation, 25%. That's sort of where they've been. They came in at 28%. So they beat on AWS growth and that's really really important especially for their scale. This was very good news. Uh the ads business is still cooking uh churned out 17.2 billion in revenue and the chips business just crossed 20 billion run rate which is very very good and they have big deals. AWS is in this interesting position less of this like Google pure play full stack and more focused on uh working with both open AI and anthropic at this point. And so that all justifies more investments in tranium and AI infrastructure broadly and the market seems to like it. Huge capex numbers but reasonable response from the market and the stock. So Meta Meta had a rough go. Huge drop nearly 10% down following earnings. It's sort of jumping up and down now. But uh the core business uh was extremely strong. So Q1 revenue was uh 56.3 billion up 33% year-over-year. So high growth for the overall business. Um, ad impressions rose 19%, average price per ad rose 12%. They raised the capex outlook from uh this they have this range. It's within$10 billion of 125. They added 10 billion to both. So instead of saying, hey, we'll be between 115 and 135, now they're saying we're going to be between 125 and 145. Will they actually get more compute for that? Or is that just a reflection of rising prices for all the inputs that go into compute spending? That's a big debate because there's one bullcase where oh they're optimistic they're going to buy more compute but it's like no there's a possibility they're just spending more to get the same amount of compute as they thought. But the big problem for shareholders the big answer is it's not as clean of a >> can you imagine just take one second and imagine that Meta is a private company and their pitch is that we make AI agents for uh selling products. They're at a $200 billion run rate, growing 33% a year. How is it priced? >> 20 trillion >> probably. Probably >> with those operating margins. >> I'm joking. Uh it it truly is one of the most incredible businesses. Yeah. >> Of all time. But >> they don't have but people Yeah. Yeah. They don't have they don't have the cloud thing. He's >> kind of acting like the most AGI pill CEO like like hyperscaler CEO, right? He was talking about like basically talking about like RSI on the earnings call. He's like it's not just about like coding, you know, coding like he really seemingly believes and he doesn't want to be in a position where >> someone else has actual super intelligence and he does not. >> And so >> and and that's just like a little bit too fuzzy because when you look in the rest of the market right now, it's like productivity tools. Yeah. Right. >> And so the market just like can't really read into it. Yeah. and they're just kind of like not even giving him full credit for the business that he has. >> Yeah. And I forget if he's ever mentioned the idea of of selling tokens, selling AI infrastructure, getting in the cloud market, but it's way easier for an AWS. >> He kind of loosely mentioned that last year >> when he was like starting to ramp stuff up like basically saying like maybe we could do this. Yeah. At some point. >> Yeah. because it's way easier to justify the the capex at Amazon when you say oh well like you know if you know regardless of how this market plays out maybe anthropic takes some of the compute maybe open AI takes the compute maybe there's a whole bunch of new uh AI labs that take compute maybe we'll use it for our services our own models if models commoditize it's still valuable if they don't it's still valuable there's a whole bunch of different ways to to shift that capex around and justify it meta it's got to show up in the AI figures. It's got to show up in the ad business at least right now. Uh and so there's there are questions about how the big capex spend feeds back into cash flow when the company doesn't have a platform with big enterprise AI contracts, massive RPO figures. There's not an easy place to just like stuff compute necessarily and at least get uh you know a market standard return on investment. Um of course they could spin up reselling. could become a neo cloud or something like that. But uh at their scale, it's a it's a whole new host of challenges if they go that direction. And I think that that's not the plan. I think you're you're you're dialing into it that they are in fact uh recursive self-improvement pled at this point. The other sort of uh tremor in the system was the fact that daily active people, which is something that they were, it's not users anymore, it's DAP, daily active people, uh declined squentially since the first time that Meta began reporting the metric. So less people were using Meta platforms uh this quarter than previously. Um but they had some good explanations for it. They said that there were internet disruptions in Iran and WhatsApp restrictions in Russia. And so this was not representative of a real change in internet user behavior. And I think we all uh recognize that that is reality in the sense that there's not some upand cominging social network that's eating meta platforms family of apps lunch, right? like the Tik Tok threat came and sort of went. The Snapchat threat came and sort of went. >> Sora, >> Sora came and went, right? And so there there was a different post I saw that uh social media use is declining, especially under young people, but it was already so high it's not really showing up. >> Truly, it will truly be insane if we get this new alien technology. We get LLMs, which in digital form can uh convince you that they are a person. Yeah. >> And we end up getting no new big social platforms >> might just strengthen the current ones. >> Well, yeah. Yeah. No, I mean I think that's the base case right now, but it's still wild. I think you would expect I think again if you rewound >> to like 2020 and you said, "Hey, we're going to have this technology where you can effectively have a digital twin of yourself. You would think that somebody would figure out some new >> Yeah, maybe. >> I I I I continue to think it just strengthens the incumbent's roadblocks. Instagram, WhatsApp, Facebook, like these platforms will just get more content on them that will probably be LLM generated, LLM enhanced. Even if it's not LLM written or developed, it's it's, you know, a creator taking less time doing other boring things and spending more time on their core output. So, uh, we'll keep tracking it. So, overall, what what what did we learn this earnings season? Uh one possible takeaway is that there's a little bit of a fracturing in the overall AI narrative. So uh the AI narrative over the last 12 months has basically been like say the biggest number, biggest capex number, biggest deals, just grow grow. Now every uh every hyperscaler reports a big capex number, but each company does have a different story. So Google's the full stack platform. Microsoft's focused on enterprise adoption and distribution. Amazon's most aggressive on infrastructure and partnerships with OpenAI and Anthropic. They have the the cleanest less uh it's a less competitive relationship with Anthropic and OpenAI because they don't have the deep mind equivalent necessarily. Meta is all about ad optimization. And Meta is also this interesting like high-risk option on Frontier AI. Like it's possible that if TBD Labs, MSL, if that pays off, you wind up getting an OpenAI sized or anthropic sized business out of it in the igopoly world where they have a breakthrough. They get to something that's 55 or 47 level and then they're competing at in an equal level and they're playing in that igopoly. Um, and so you like the meta traders are sort of or the investors are sort of weighing both of those sides. So you have a very solid ads business and then you have this call option on uh potential frontier AI uh which is still early but showing some really solid signs. So uh the market likes short-term revenue evidence right now and there's still many strategies that will play out over the rest of the year but uh this quarter was focused on can you justify your capex this quarter and so we'll keep following it. Um let's go over the timeline and see what people were saying. The headline numbers of course were huge cloud growth. AWS 28%, GCP 63%, Azure at 40%. Uh, a absolutely massive numbers. Uh, remember people were hoping for GCP to be at 40% and it went up 63%. Absolutely massive. Uh, AWS people are hoping for 30, they got 28. Not too bad. This poster Ren is comparing the price to earnings multiples today versus the dot boom. Today's MAG 4 PE ratios, the companies that reported earnings, uh, Meta's at 16x price to earnings, Google's at 17x, Amazon's at 24, and Microsoft's at 25 price toearnings ratio. Compare that to during the Microsoft was at 73x, Cisco was at 200x plus. Yahoo was trading at 800x earnings. Uh, the NASDAQ as a whole traded at 200 times earnings during the peak of the dot bubble. uh today's bubble is trading at 16 to 25x earnings on companies generating hundreds of billions of dollars of real cash flow. Now they're drawing down on that cash flow. But even in some bizarre world where you know AI is a bubble and it's fake and we all go back to pencil and paper uh we'll probably go back to digital advertising and spreadsheets in the cloud and you know SAS and uh all of these companies will still benefit and be in fantastic positions. >> Yeah. The only thing that that's you know or one thing that's imperfect with these comparisons is when you look at like the peak you can say like okay Meta Google, Amazon and and Microsoft have relatively reasonable PE ratios. Yeah. >> But if you look at the rest uh you look at all the companies that have been started in the last like five years especially in the private markets that have been marked up from 20 to 100 to 500 to a billion and beyond. Many of them have absolutely no earnings. Yeah. And so you have to look at like maybe something more like a Yahoo as like a decent comp, right? Where Yahoo was trading at peak at 800x. Yeah. >> And so >> and there is some there is some push back in the in the replies here. Reasonous for says AMD is at 130, Tesla's at 350, Palunteer's at 220, and Intel is at 900 times earnings. >> I know. So it's like very very convenient to just >> take the four of the greatest companies ever in the history of the world and say like there's no bubble like they're they're reasonably priced. >> Yeah, I think it is it is it is useful to go back to the fact that like there that there's there's a lot of hype in tech but what's driving the vast majority of the market cap right now is still fairly low PE companies. It's like Intel is so much smaller on a market cap basis than Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta that even if you're overpaying on earnings for that, the overall market is anchored to a pretty decent earnings engine still. And that's like the bull case here. >> George Hutz is back with a white pill. >> What do you say? >> May 1st. He says, "AI will create jobs." >> Says, "It's nice to see Jensen talk about this and it's super obvious when you think about it. that AI and immigration are fundamentally the same. There's new people showing up and hopefully everyone understands how and why immigration creates jobs. Wants are effectively unlimited. It's classic Jevans paradox that if we make something more efficient, we end up using more of it. Or a cool apherism I learned at Facebook. If you make the site 10% faster, people spend 5% more total time. >> It's funny. He worked at Facebook for he was like an intern. >> He's part of the machine. Now, just like you get the waw wa crying people about how immigration lowers wages for native born Americans, and we got to keep the hardworking immigrants out because you have some right to be lazy or something, you'll get this about AI. AI will outco compete some humans at some jobs. But protectionism is for losers. The important thing is that the overall pie grows and inequality stays somewhat in check, not by redistribution, but by design. There will be more to do than ever before. >> More to do than ever before. >> Can we pull up this video of Jensen? Yeah, let's do it. And I >> in the production chat for you. >> Yo, you have it? >> Yeah, we can play it. >> Great. I'm excited for Eric Seufort's deep dive here. We'll get into that later. >> The souvenirator. >> The And reminder, we have the Isacator coming on in just seven minutes. Mike Isaac has been covering the Elon Musk versus trial. >> Is it like a 4-day work week with trials? It is. Are they living in the future? >> It is. Wait, wait, wait. So, can can can we pull up this screenshot because did you read Mike Isaac's full thread on uh on his experience covering the trial? Did you read the whole thing? Because he's been live tweeting it and it's very funny because he will post. So, we got to zoom in here. This is a >> Did you turn this into >> I turned it into an infographic. So, this is a this is a minute-by-minute chronological log of op off-topic slashpersonal minor inconvenience moments because Mike Isaac will talk about, oh, Elon Musk just said this on the stage, oh, the lawyer fired back with this, the jury said this, the judge said that, right? But then in between that, he has been logging very very minor inconveniences that he's that he's uh experienced. So he talks about his his lunch, the roasted tomato and corn pizza. He says he forgot a pillow for his bird to sit on. >> He said >> corn be >> I don't know. Uh he said he bought >> that's a very Oakland thing >> at at at60745. This is transcribed from EXO. I think the times are times are UTC or something. Uh he brought a water bottle but forgot to fill it in the rush for a seat. Now he's increasingly thirsty during an intense moment of testimony. Someone's laptop suddenly blasted a loud YouTube video in the gallery. This is a garden hose nozzle. It said courtroom mishap. So he's going through it all. Uh it's very fun to to track his and we'll and we'll dig into his experience both in the court and actually with what's going on with the case. But let's play this Jensen clip. This sounds fun. >> There's the things that the things that are said are very counterproductive and in fact hurtful. I on the one hand maybe maybe a scientist thinks that by warning people that AI is going to completely permeate and proliferate across radiology and therefore radiologists are going to get wiped out. Um on the one hand that might be considered warning and therefore helpful but in fact the counter would have been hurtful. If we convinced everybody not to be radiologists and we now need radiologists, that actually is hurtful to society. It is hurtful if we convinced all the young college graduates to not be software engineers. And it turns out United States need more software engineers than ever. That's hurtful. And so we have to be mindful of how we communicate uh the importance of this technology and what it's able to do um to advocate for policy and advocate for guard rails on the one hand. on the other hand, uh scaring people with things like saying nonsensical things which are not going to happen. That this is an existential threat to humanity. There's 20% chance that is existential. That's ridiculous. That it's going to wipe out uh 50% of of uh of uh new college grad jobs. Uh that it's going to completely destroy democracy. I mean, these kind of comments are not helpful. They're not based >> they're they're made by He's subweeting in real life. He's not vague posting. He's subweeting. Uh I I do think the 50% numbers are so funny because it's like 50/50 is like the most neutral you can be about some prediction. It feels like I mean I get that it's not in that case it's like 50% of jobs, but whenever you issue like a 50/50 proclamation, it sort of tells you nothing. Like we were looking at like the prediction markets on the trial and we were like, "Oh, it's 5050. Okay, so it actually doesn't give me any information about what's going to happen in the future. And it's very easy to make a prediction that's like, oh, I predict this will happen 50/50. And then if it doesn't happen, you can be like, well, yeah, 50% chance it wasn't going to happen. Like, I had it really high that it wasn't going to happen. And then you can also say, you know, I predicted it. >> Yeah, it's so it is it is truly universal when we talk to these companies that are building a AI products or selling AI products. It seems like the ambition level in every single industry is just going up. Even even Gabe from Rogo was saying, "Yeah, there's an opportunity to cut costs or there's an opportunity to get aggressive and like take market share." >> Yep. >> And and he said like a lot of firms are saying like, "Let's just do more work. Let's grow let's grow our revenue. Let's take on more clients, right? It's harder and harder to to doom about the job market." >> Yeah. Do you need to doom about the task market >> if you're It's over for tasks are getting automated. No, it's serious. Like there are tasks that like the reading of the X-ray or whatever it was the the radiologist scan. What what do they actually read? Is that an X-ray that they're looking for tumors in? You know what I'm talking about, right? The famous Hinton. >> Yeah, I don't know if it's technically an X-ray. >> It's not, right? It's a CAT scan. >> It's some scan where you can look. >> Yeah, they do a scan. And of course, image generation and image models are very good at detecting cancers, but that is just one of several tasks, many tasks that a radiologist does throughout the day. And so radiologists are currently making more money than ever and they are in more demand than ever. And I was telling you before the show about uh truck drivers, they don't just drive the truck. Uh there was a survey that said 70% of them carry weapons because they are effectively they are security guards for the truck and as well as probably a bunch of other things that you don't think about. Light repairs on the truck. uh you know stopping for different things, rearranging things in the back, making sure the load is like balanced and driving with kids in the car. Just >> if you're driving with kids in the car and you drive by a big truck on a road trip, you can go like this and then >> that's another thing that that they self a computer could never look out the window, see some kids in the car and honk. >> But well, yeah, I mean, we'll see. Data center beautifification. Uh and he summed it up uh perfectly. He says, "Make data centers aesthetically beautiful." And so people have been quote, tweeting, posting, riffing on this, uh, sharing different ideas. More people would be pro data center if every data center had a beautiful open to the public heated pool. That's an interesting twist. Uh, full water slide. I think, uh, halfpipe is a big idea. Monster truck rally constantly going on. These are ways to, you know, win people over. sort of a nitro circus going on in every data center. >> Electro truck rally on the roof of a data center. >> Yeah. Sort of a universal basic nitro circus. So you get Are you familiar with Nitro Circus? Are you not Is this a three fingers moment for you? You're like I'm familiar. >> No, I'm just imagining they're building. >> Let's say you've never actually been to Nitro Circus. >> I'm imagining they're building the like dirt bike ramps over the data center. Exactly. Back flipping over. >> Exactly. Julie Young shares a trick. this one neat trick that Los Angeles uses to hide oil deckers. Uh we have a few oil derks in LA that are disguised as synagogues. They are literally just sitting in the middle of the city. LOL. Surprisingly few people are aware. There's a number of data centers that are disguised in Los Angeles as well. Usually, you can tell because there's no windows in the building, but these exist in downtown usually for edge computing for uh like the content delivery network. You put storing your Netflix videos there, that type of stuff. not doing training runs, not gigawatt clusters. >> Just in skin exams are getting automated. >> Oh yes, >> this is a very cool product. >> Okay, break it down for us. Let's pull up. >> Uh we have video here. >> Yes. uh >> I think anybody that's been to a dermatologist >> it's like looking for potential um you know skin cancers things like that that abnor abnormalities has had the experience of like the you know the when you're you know that video or the meme where the the guy's like walking through security and the and the security guys just like >> you know does this like really pat down it's like that's basically what like a lot of dermatologists are doing where they just like take a quick glance and they're like oh yeah look Looks good. >> Yeah, they might be busy. They might be sleeping back in like a couple years. >> So, a robot that just does it like really really precisely, consistently, ideally, uh hopefully hopefully a lot more accessibly. I can see this making a lot of sense. And then you actually it doesn't even replace the job of a doctor. It just helps them um speed up the process. >> Uh where is this company? What stage are they? Do they have to go through FDA medical uh device approval process? That could be a couple years maybe. But this seems like once you get it uh through it's going to be massively successful. Um I wonder I wonder where they are in the FDA process. Hopefully they can move along quickly. Um ARC Prize put out an update on ARC AGI V3 which Tyler are you still on the human leaderboard for that or if you >> I don't think I'm on the leaderboard anymore. That was still early on. Like I I think there's actually more games now. >> Roasted. Uh well, ARC AGI V3 has been very tough for even the most frontier AI models, but the good folks over at Arc Prize have benchmarked the two latest and greatest AI models from OpenAI and Enthropic. GPT 5.5 scored 0.43%. >> Opus 4.7 scored 0.18%. It is it is state-of-the-art. This is the weird thing about these uh these RKGI tests is that they they start with such a low baseline 0% 1% and then they start s they start shooting up as the models get more capable. But it is very interesting and reassuring to see these powerful models that you sometimes hear these narratives it can do everything and then h there's something that you know to to continue working for to look forward to in the future. Uh there's more applications here. And so they found three total failure modes. Uh true local effect, false world model, wrong level of abstraction from training data. Solve the level but didn't reinforce the reward. And so the ARC prize account goes through a little of bit of what's going on when an AI model tries to play ARGI v3, which is basically a 2D video game. Uh simple enough for any human to progress through, but increasingly difficult for AI models. >> Okay. Yes, >> we got to talk about one of the most exciting new products created in the last 100 years. >> According to Katie at Business Insider, Amazon will now create an AI podcast about their products where two AI hosts discuss the products and take your questions as if it's a call-in show. >> Yes, >> let's play. >> We don't need to play this one. This one is so rude, but you can imagine the type of products that people are generating AI podcasts for. only the silliest things will be generated. I don't know if people want to listen to a full podcast about every product they buy on Amazon, but you have had some very strong opinions about uh paper towels. You wanted paper towels from like the 1950s or something. Remember this whole thing? You didn't want >> Well, I I just wanted a filter to be able to buy only shop for things on Amazon. >> Now, instead of a filter, you can listen to an hourong podcast about every possible skew and then you can make the most determined uh decision available. Go enjoy your weekend. Enjoy your Friday. We will see you on Monday. >> Goodbye. >> Throwing flashbang.

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