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MiCA July 1 Deadline, SpaceX $1.75T IPO, Bitcoin ETF Shift

CryptoFriday, June 12, 2026· 13 videos

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MiCA July 1 reshapes exchanges

The European Union will enforce MiCA rules on July 1, 2026, ending the transition period for crypto platforms. Exchanges must hold licenses or exit markets, with regulators signaling strict compliance. In France, the AMF warned of penalties up to 2 years prison and €30,000 fines for violations. Firms like Bitget, Bybit, KuCoin, and Gemini have already restructured or withdrawn.

US creates tokens to catch manipulators

U.S. authorities launched undercover operations using fake tokens like Next Fund AI and Lexobet on Uniswap. Investigators posed as founders and hired market makers to document manipulation practices. The crackdown led to 25+ indictments and around $25 million seized. Evidence exposed widespread wash trading services from firms such as Gotbit and ZM Quant.

SpaceX $1.75T IPO shakes liquidity

SpaceX is preparing a historic IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation, potentially among the largest ever. The listing is expected to جذب massive capital flows across NASDAQ and global markets. Analysts warn of short-term volatility as funds rotate into the offering. This could drain liquidity from assets like crypto and gold.

Bitcoin ETFs signal selling slowdown

Bitcoin ETF outflows have dropped sharply from -$325M to -$65M, easing selling pressure. This indicates stabilization rather than a shift to aggressive buying. Key levels remain $59,200 support and $65,400–$68,600 resistance. Price action is consolidating within this range amid cautious sentiment.

Options markets unwind bearish bets

Bitcoin options exposure flipped from around -$2.1B to -$121M, reflecting rapid hedge unwinds. Similar moves hit equities, with S&P 500 exposure shifting from -$115B to -$21B. Traders closed put positions and reopened upside calls targeting $75K–$83K BTC. The repositioning suggests improving sentiment but not full bullish conviction.

Oil stuck despite Iran tensions

Oil prices remain range-bound despite conflict involving Iran and the United States. Markets appear unconvinced of supply disruption, keeping crude in consolidation. Key levels sit near $80 downside and $100 upside. A breakout is expected between mid-June and early July as the pattern matures.

Solana pressured by Hyperliquid rise

Solana (SOL) continues trending downward, struggling below prior highs with weak momentum. Competition from Hyperliquid (HYPE) is intensifying, especially with buyback-style token models. Key accumulation zones sit between $27 and $50, with focus on $33–$37. Declining TVL and stagnating metrics add to bearish concerns.

Inflation and macro weigh on crypto

U.S. inflation data met expectations, with Core CPI slightly below forecasts but still restrictive. Markets price a 71% probability of continued rate hikes, limiting risk appetite. PPI surprised at +1.1%, reinforcing inflation pressure. Crypto remains tightly correlated with equities under these macro conditions.

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