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SpaceX and OpenAI IPO: Shock

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AIRenaud DékodeMay 25, 2026 at 10:02 AM2:42
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TL;DR

The rivalry between Elon Musk and OpenAI is temporarily coming to an end amid a legal battle, while artificial intelligence giants accelerate their IPO plans.

KEY POINTS

End of a major legal battle

Elon Musk lost his lawsuit against OpenAI, bringing to a close a symbolic episode of tensions between former partners turned competitors. This decision removes a significant legal obstacle and allows the parties involved to refocus on their industrial and financial strategies.

Toward a wave of IPOs

OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are preparing near-simultaneous IPOs, reportedly planned for the end of the year in the United States. Initial filings are said to have been submitted with minimal delay, signaling direct competition for investor attention.

Colossal valuations ahead

Estimates suggest around $1 trillion for OpenAI, even more for Anthropic, which benefits from an already profitable model, and up to $1.7 trillion for SpaceX. These figures reflect the scale of expectations surrounding AI and related infrastructure.

Increasing concentration in the tech sector

The influx of capital into these companies could strengthen their dominance. Once publicly listed, they would have massive resources to acquire startups, attract talent through stock options, and shape the market around a few dominant hubs.

Anthropic, a profitable outsider

Unlike several competitors, Anthropic stands out for its current profitability. This performance could enable it to secure a higher valuation and attract investors seeking already proven business models.

SpaceX’s hybrid strategy

SpaceX combines space operations with technological ambitions. The development of Starlink, already profitable, provides a solid foundation, while projects tied to computing infrastructure—potentially in space—support long-term growth prospects.

Elon Musk’s decisive influence

With a majority stake in SpaceX, Elon Musk retains significant strategic control. This position would allow him to steer the group’s priorities, particularly toward the most profitable activities, and heavily influence market evolution.

The stakes of future infrastructure

Beyond AI models, the battle also centers on hosting and computing power. Infrastructure—whether terrestrial or orbital—is becoming a key lever for capturing value and setting technological standards.

CONCLUSION

The convergence of artificial intelligence, financial markets, and strategic infrastructure points to a rapid reshaping of the sector, dominated by a few players capable of mobilizing unprecedented resources.

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