Tech • IA • Crypto
IRAN : USA ÇA CHAUFFE !! IMPACT pour les MARCHÉS ? 🚨
8/10TL;DR
Rising tensions between the United States and Iran have not yet caused notable stress on financial markets, which continue to maintain an upward trend, particularly on the Nasdaq and the Dow Jones.
KEY POINTS
Absence of market nervousness despite geopolitical tensions
The VIX, an indicator of market volatility, shows no sign of a significant increase in stress. A slight rise has been observed, but no drastic movement has been recorded yet, leaving investors confident for now despite ongoing tensions.
Stock indices in an upward trend
The Nasdaq remains in a strong bullish momentum, with a maintained bullish bias despite some sporadic profit-taking. Key levels to watch are around 27,000 points, particularly the previous weekly low. The Dow Jones follows a similar trajectory, with buying opportunities in the so-called "discount" zone, corresponding to reload areas before a probable continuation toward new historical highs.
Bullish trading strategies
As long as main supports, such as the previous weekly low, are not broken downward, the strategy remains to buy the moderate dips. This involves capitalizing on controlled pullbacks to target a continuation of the upward trend.
S&P 500 consolidating but positive bias maintained
The S&P 500 is working through its valuation gaps (value gaps) in view of a potential bullish continuation, similar to the Nasdaq. Respecting key levels remains essential to validate this scenario.
Dollar stabilized and in a consolidation range
The dollar index shows consolidation around a balance between its recent highs and lows, supported by a probable interest rate hike in the United States. No clear directional move is currently identified, limiting the impact on other assets.
Oil under watch within its range
The barrel of oil is under persistent pressure near the top of its range, failing to confirm a clear breakout. A bullish or bearish breakout would strongly influence market sentiment, especially through the prism of inflation expectations and central bank decisions.
Potential impact of an oil breakout on financial markets
A break of current oil levels could trigger a reassessment of the likelihood of interest rate increases, causing a decline in U.S. indices. Conversely, a quick reintegration into the range would temporarily weaken any market stress.
Gold still subject to bearish flow
The yellow metal faces rejection in its daily valuation gap, with a confirmed bearish base. Without a pullback in the dollar, gold struggles to reverse the trend; some key zones around 1,944 would serve as support for repositioning, but the bias remains negative.
No major alerts on financial markets
Overall, markets remain in a phase of relative stability despite the tense political context. Caution is advisable, but the dominant scenario remains a bullish continuation as long as critical technical thresholds are not breached.
CONCLUSION
Geopolitical tensions have not yet disrupted the dynamics of financial markets, which currently favor a bullish scenario accompanied by healthy consolidation. Vigilance remains necessary regarding key levels of volatility, oil, and indices.